Wednesday, June 25, 2008

Renting Cars and Predicting the Future

I was filling up my car at the gas station last night when I heard someone say "Next thing you know, we'll be renting cars from the car companies."

It couldn't be to me. I hadn't even made eye contact with anyone at the gas station.

Actually, it was. When I turned around to clean my windshield, the old guy with the giant 1980's Cadillac in front of me said it again:

"In the future, we'll be renting cars from the car companies."

I still couldn't believe he was talking to me, but I actually responded this time, and what resulted was a short conversation about gas prices and their implications (Who hasn't had one of these yet? Anyone? Anyone?). This particular conversation was only as interesting as a conversation between a 21-year-old and a 65-year-old at 9:00 pm at a Novato gas station can be, but his last point was interesting. Or at least informative. He explained to me that in the early 1900's, L.A. had a world-class public transportation system, until the car companies came along and convinced everyone that we didn't need public transportation. We had cars, and after all, gas was cheap! I didn't know this, and when I told him so, he said I should look it up. "Very interesting. Very, very interesting."

Interesting enough for me to get in my car, pass him as soon as I could, and drive home.

His two points did, however, raise two interesting questions to me:

1) Will we really be renting cars from car companies someday?

2) When the public is convinced to make a decision, and years later that decision doesn't work out, is it a sign of villiany?

In regards to (1), I think the answer is no. Usually, things become rent-able because they are very useful but too expensive for the average consumer to buy, especially if they don't want to consider taking out a large loan. But in this case, it isn't the price of the cars themselves that is making them too expensive, it's the price of something else (economists would call this a complimentary good) - gas - that is pricing them out of most people's budgets. So I really don't see how renting cars helps. Honestly, I think this a problem that is going to need to be solved by good, old-fashioned human ingenuity. We need to make public transportation really attractive (high overhead costs because you need infrastructure), make gasoline more efficient (good, but still not politically or environmentally satisfying), or find a new fuel source (again, infrastructure is a huge roadblock). It's looking like those first two solutions are equally useful in different situations, but I think the third one has to be the wave of the future. It just still seems really far off...

Question (2) is a bit more interesting to me because it seems to be part of paradigm that has cropped up a lot of late. People have developed a tendency to villianize decisionmakers when their decisions turn out badly - even years later.

It reminds me a lot of my brother when he was younger. Every once in a while, I would tell him that I would do something with him in the near future - for example, play Mario Kart with him over the weekend - and then I would get assigned a big project for school, and not be able to do what I said. And then he would call me a liar.

Now, I understand someone being disappointed about not getting to spend time with me, but I would get REALLY angry about being called a liar when the reality was that I couldn't predict the future. So I guess what I'm saying is that if I was a car company rep in the 1930's (or whenever it was, I'm simply judging by the guy's age), and now I heard this old guy questioning my character 70 years later, I'd be pretty damn angry. I wouldn't apologize for not predicting OPEC, I wouldn't apologize for the fact that terrorism and oil keep the same company, and I sure as hell wouldn't apologize for popularizing the automobile (It's done some good stuff...). I'd probably just tell the guy to go watch Syriana (even though what I'd want to tell him would be that if he wanted to complain about gas prices, the first thing he should do is stop driving a 1980's Cadillac, since they are practically the Hummer of sedans).

Tangents aside, this way of assigning blame seems to be really popular. Rhetorical questions about who armed what regimes fifty years ago and who didn't build a good enough internet infrastructure for today's business climate abound. And to be sure, sometimes people with power maliciously manipulate "the people" for their own good. But not always. A lot can happen in fifty years, or in twenty if technology is involved. Sometimes, people just have to admit that the the world is way too unpredictable for every major decision to work out well.

After all, I bet the old man didn't hate the car companies when he bought that Cadillac.

Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Sometimes, You Just Have to Go Down With the Pot...

Note: I started writing this in the Novato Library yesterday. I wasn't really sure where it was going when I started, but I knew that there was something to it. Around 8:30, I figured out where it was headed... and then the library closed at 9:00. I knew I'd lose it if I packed up and drove home, but I had no choice, and sure enough, when I got home, it was gone. I tried writing more at home to no avail, so I closed my computer, put it under my bed, and decided to sleep on it. No dice. Now, the problem is that, sometimes, when all your chips are in, you just have to take what the cards give you. So I think there are some good ideas in here, to be sure, but I'm not too happy with the last third or the way it resolves itself. But I'm posting it anyways. I invested too much time to leave it on my hard drive somewhere. So I'm sorry, but hopefully whoever (if anyone) reads this stuff will get something out of it...

Another note: Cutting and pasting from word into the Blogger form lost all of my italicizing and took out all my paragraph breaks. I didn't bother re-italicizing, and who knows if I put the paragraph breaks back in the right places. Sometimes you just can't win.

I'm writing this from a library. It's been a long time since I've been to a non-collegiate library, and I have to say, it's refreshing. I've always felt a bit oppressed in college libraries, because everyone that's there is the same age, and they are all there studying, and it makes college kids seem even more like automatons than they already are. But being in a community library, I see old folks, moms with their kids, teenagers with nothing better to do, etc. It's an actual slice of life. Plus, community libraries actually care about presentation, because they actually care about getting people to enjoy reading, whereas college libraries are just about research. For example, next to where I'm sitting right now is a rotating rack of "Teen Paperbacks." I forgot all about Teen Paperbacks! I can see The Giver, Of Mice and Men, and The Two Towers. When I was a teen, books like those are what made me love to read. Like I said, refreshing.

Anyways, it's taken me a few days to get another blog up after breaking the seal the other night, and that's partially because of I've been busy but also because I really don't want to blog just to be blogging. I like to write about things that are meaningful to me, and I don't want to compromise that.

I guess what I'm saying is that I've actually had something worth thinking about on my mind lately.

Politics and religion have been coming up a lot, and since you aren't really supposed to talk about them and I've had to, I figure it’s only fair that I write about them. When I was at home over the weekend for a belated Father's Day dinner, I had a conversation in which my religious, strictly not-gay father invoked religion in a discussion of gay marriage. Then, when I got back to Berkeley, I had dinner with an a-religious gay friend who invoked his homosexuality in a discussion of religion.

Now, because I have gay friends that are religious and religious friends that support gay marriage, I feel like I've heard a lot of thoughtful arguments about this topic in just about every direction.

And I genuinely don't know what exactly I think about it.

For full disclosure, I have to note that I'm generally a politically apathetic person, and I think that has a lot to do with the fact that my exposure to politics, both growing up in a Conservative Christian home and living in Berkeley, has largely been about antagonizing and/or demonizing the other side of the aisle. That just isn't productive, in my opinion. I'm sure it'll be hard to remain apathetic when I get older, but for now, my official policy is to build relationships on a personal level and do what I can to help people out.

That was a long disclaimer, but the point of it was to say that this issue isn't interesting to me on a political level; it is, however, interesting in the way that it embodies some of the struggles that I think the country is dealing with that I think have a lot to do with politics and religion, but aren’t necessarily about them.

Anyways...

When I was talking to my dad about gay marriage, he said that he had no problem with gays getting civil unions, but that he just didn't think that marriage, by definition, was a union between two men or two women. Now, I really don't have a problem with that argument, and my gay friend, when I related the story to him, said that he didn't either. But my dad followed up with something interesting:

"I just wish they didn't always have to drive wedges between people."

That was something I didn't expect. When I asked for clarification, he explained that legalizing gay marriage was obviously going to alienate a certain group of people - namely, religious Americans (be they Christian, Muslim, or whatever, he specified). This was certainly not the group of people that I expected to hear described as "alienated" during a gay marriage conversation.

I'm a contrarian, so I needed something to say in argument. And what I told my dad (and this wasn't a particularly difficult point to come up with), was that I think he has a difficult time separating himself from his own perspective. I explained that while he seemed to think (rightly or wrongly, I really can't say with any authority) that the major argument for gay marriage was equal legal rights, in my experience, a lot of gays simply don’t want to feel like there is something that is by and large unattainable because of their lifestyle choice. And I think the distinction that is central to this argument is that whether marriage was exclusively one man and one woman by definition or not, and whether it had originally been a religious institution or not, it was now a legal institution. And as a result, when individuals feel like they do not have a right to that institution, they feel like that is a wedge. And that was hard for my parents to understand.

I think the existence of these “wedges” begs two questions: must they exist? And who decides where they end up? Both of these questions have a lot to do with some of the underlying struggles that the country faces right now.

So let’s talk about the first question. Clearly, we are talking about different population groups, as there is a difference in terms of sexual preference. What is decidedly less clear is whether or not that difference constitutes a wedge. For supporters of gay marriage, it should not: a union of two people is a union of two people, be they men, women, or both. For others, especially religious conservatives, it should. Compounding the discrepancy is the fact that individuals at both end tend to be very passionate. When my mom overheard my dad and I arguing, her submission was this: "Sometimes, when you make a choice, you have to live with the consequences. And there are absolutes in this world, and our country needs to realize that." I agree with that statement in principal, but the problem is that this debate isn’t about the reasonability of “consequences,” or whether or not there are absolutes, but rather about when and where, legally, we should determine consequences - because we have the power to do so. We, as a nation, get to draw the lines and insert the wedges, and that is a difficult and dangerous task. The religious right considers this issue to be of utmost importance – and they use a term here that captures things really well – when they talk about “Moral Relativism.”

I think Moral Relativism has become a sort of buzzword for the current political divide in this country because, up until probably the 1950’s, we were concerned with being a moral country and by and large were really only exposed to one dominant moral code (which was, let’s be honest, a Christian one). But the 1960’s were a turbulent time, and moving on forward into the present, we have been made aware more and more of deviants from the once-traditional moral standards of the country. I tend to think that’s a symptom of the proliferation of information, which started at roughly the same time.

This proliferation of information has made it increasingly difficult to answer the second question I raised earlier, that of who decides where wedges end up. I’m trying to suggest that, due to TV, the internet, the New Media, Myspace, Facebook, YouTube, etc., it is nigh-impossible to ignore the differences that exist between people. And when people see differences, people draw lines. In the 1950’s, I doubt that homosexuality was any less prevalent than it is today – but it was certainly less known (Michael Foucault has the classic line here, but I can’t remember it exactly, so I’m not going to try and quote it). And that has a hell of a lot of significance. In the past, if our answer as a country was that a wedge should exist, it wasn’t very difficult to figure out where to put it. That’s no longer the case.

I have to go on record here as saying that I don’t think there are a whole lot of new problems in this world. Parents think that kids are more lecherous; Christians think the country’s morality has faded; the list goes on and on. But I don’t think kids are any more libidinous now than they used to be. If anything, it was just repressed more – and I’m not sure that repression makes it “less of a problem.” But something that is new is the multitude of ways that we are made aware of these problems. I think it’s going to turn out to be just another cultural growing pain – like those exhibited in the 1960’s – but we seem, from these eyes, to be doing a terrible job of adjusting.

Yesterday, James Dobson, the prominent evangelical leader of Focus on the Family, criticized Barack Obama for distorting religion in response to (at least as it was reported) Obama questioning “which” or “whose” Christianity would be enforced legally even if we all agreed that US law should be based on Christianity. Obama gave the example of “Al Sharpton’s Christianity” vs. “James Dobson’s Christianity,” but there are many examples that could be given. I think this encapsulates the issues I’ve been trying to discuss. Even within Christianity, moral relativism exists. Furthermore, it’s impossible to be ignorant of the spectrum: we all immediately understand the connotations that Al Sharpton and James Dobson have in regards to “their Christianity.” And that makes it even more difficult to sort through the relativism dilemma.

Our country has seemed to constantly be in a state of upheaval for the years that I’ve been old enough to be aware of it, and I really think the two issues discussed underlie many of the political and cultural struggles we face today. I don’t know how to resolve them. But I know that we must try. I’m politically apathetic because of the antagonism that I’ve experienced in the political arena, and I’ve certainly felt the same antagonism in my religious experience. And in both cases, I really think we’re missing the point.

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

You Gotta Start Somewhere...

Well, I guess I've finally been sucked into the blogosphere. Actually, I've thought about doing it for a long time, so I'd like to think that it was a totally conscious decision, and that I didn't actually get sucked in. But who knows where the truth really lies...

Anyways, what is true is that I'm doing this because I love to write. I don't know what writing will come out in this space - I'm sure some will be serious, some will be silly, some will be superflous, and some will be shitty - but I hope it's as much fun to read as it is to write. Because it will be fun to write.

It's pretty ridiculously late right now... I was in Tennesse for the past week, but sleeping odd hours so that I'm probably, in reality, on London time or something. What I'm trying to say is that I'm not going to write anything substantial right now, but I'm glad to have this set up.

Ok... So I guess I should probably say something about the name. The truth is that this phrase has somehow been with me for as far back as I can remember. I think what it means to me is probably most transparent in the film Shane. It has something to do with who we want to be and whose eyes we view that person through...

I guess I'm just saying that I hope that what I write has something interesting to say, and something interesting to say about what motivates that something interesting...

As if that's any clearer. I guess we'll just have to see how it goes.